4.19.2015

Year End Awards

Defensive Player of the Year
1. Draymond Green (Golden State)
2. Kawhi Leonard (San Antonio)
3. Andrew Bogut (Golden State) 
All-Defense
PG – Chris Paul (Clippers)
SG – Tony Allen (Memphis)
SF – Kawhi Leonard (San Antonio)
PF – Draymond Green (Golden State)
C – Andrew Bogut (Golden State) 
Sixth Man of the Year
1. Lou Williams (Toronto)
2. Isaiah Thomas (Boston)
3. Andre Iguodala (Golden State) 
Executive of the Year
1. David Griffin (Cleveland)
2. Daryl Morey (Houston)
3. Dell Demps (New Orleans) 
Coach of the Year
1. Mike Budenholzer (Atlanta)
2. Steve Kerr (Golden State)
3. Brad Stevens (Boston) 
Rookie of the Year
1. Andrew Wiggins (Minnesota)
2. Nikola Mirotic (Chicago)
3. Nerlens Noel (Philadelphia) 
All-Rookie
PG – Elfrid Payton (Orlando)
SG – Jordan Clarkson (Lakers)
SF – Andrew Wiggins (Minnesota)
PF – Nikola Mirotic (Chicago)
C – Nerlens Noel (Philadelphia) 
Most Valuable Player
1. Stephen Curry (Golden State)
2. James Harden (Houston)
3. Anthony Davis (New Orleans)
4. Russell Westbrook (Oklahoma City)
5. Chris Paul (Clippers) 
All-NBA
PG – Stephen Curry (Golden State)
SG – James Harden (Houston)
SF – LeBron James (Cleveland)
PF – Anthony Davis (New Orleans)
C – Marc Gasol (Memphis) 
Second Team
PG – Chris Paul (Clippers)
SG – Russell Westbrook (Oklahoma City)
SF – Kawhi Leonard (San Antonio)
PF – LaMarcus Aldridge (Portland)
C – DeAndre Jordan (Clippers) 
Third Team
PG – John Wall (Washington)
SG – Klay Thompson (Golden State)
SF – Paul Millsap (Atlanta)
PF – Pau Gasol (Chicago)
C – Al Horford (Atlanta)

4.17.2015

First Round

EAST 
Washington at Toronto – This matchup features a great defensive team in the Wizards (5th in defensive efficiency) versus a great offensive team in the Raptors (3rd in offensive efficiency).  They play at basically the same pace but Washington is the superior rebounding team (4th in rebound rate compared to 19th for T-Dot).  I give a slight edge in bench firepower and coaching to the Raps but at the same time I lean toward the depth the Wiz have with their big men.  John Wall and Bradley Beal going toe-to-toe with Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan every night should be highly entertaining.  This series is going to be a war and get really testy at times.  I can see it going either way but since I have to pick someone I’ll go with the better defensive and rebounding side.  Look for Paul Pierce to steal a game too.  Washington in 6. 
Milwaukee at Chicago – Who would have thought before the season that the Bucks would end up being better defensively (2nd to 11th in efficiency) than the Bulls?  The combined length of Michael Carter-Williams, Khris Middleton, Giannis Antetokounmpo and John Henson is just scary when deployed together.  That said I’m not sure where Milwaukee is going to go when they need a clutch basket and the intensity is high.  Chicago will finally have all their guys available at the same time but Derrick Rose, Joakim Noah, Taj Gibson and Kirk Hinrich are still banged up.  This is probably going to be a really ugly series to watch outside of The Greek Freak making his post season debut.  The Bulls will have a game where they can’t throw it in the ocean but all they really need to do is find their groove before round two begins.  Chicago in 5. 
Boston at Cleveland – Some pundits seem to think that the Celtics are going to play them tough but I’m not drinking that Kool-Aid at all.  The only thing to watch out for here is if the Cavaliers make it out of the series healthy.  Cleveland in 4. 
Brooklyn at Atlanta – The Hawks won the season series 4-0 with an average margin of victory of 17.2 points per game.  So…um…yeah…there’s that.  Atlanta in 4. 
WEST 
New Orleans at Golden State – The Warriors led the league in defensive efficiency, were second in offensive efficiency all while beating their opposition by 10.1 points per game (also tops in the NBA).  Looking at this matchup I’m not really sure how the Pelicans can hurt them.  One thing NO does have going for them is that with the recent return of Jrue Holiday they finally have all hands on deck.  The Dubs really don’t have anyone that can deal with Anthony Davis, but is The Brow ready to dominate a series yet?  That’s probably the only reason to watch this one, to see if The Brow can win a game by himself.  GS in 4.  
Dallas at Houston – This is a tough one to call because the Rockets are missing two starters in Patrick Beverley and Donatas Montiejunas...not to mention Dwight Howard still being on a minutes restriction.  For the Mavericks Chandler Parsons and Devin Harris plan to give it a go but neither is 100%.  Dallas’ dirty little secret is that Rajon Rondo has actually made them worse offensively since his arrival.  Luckily for the Mavs Coach Rick Carlisle is a Jedi so maybe he can find something that works with Rondo in the playoffs.  Houston is going to ride James Harden and GM Daryl Morey’s analytics based offense as far as it takes them.  This is another toss up for me so I’ll roll with the best player in The Beard.  Rockets in 6. 
Portland at Memphis – This a battle of the walking wounded with the Trail Blazers missing Wesley Matthews and having Nicolas Batum, Arron Afflalo, Chris Kaman and C.J. McCollum all banged up.  For the Grizzles Marc Gasol, Mike Conley and Tony Allen are all less than 100% too.  This would have been a fascinating matchup if both sides were healthy but as is Memphis just has way more quality depth at their disposal.  Portland has the best player in LaMarcus Aldridge but the Griz won the season series 4-0 by an average of 8.5 points per game.  Memphis in 5. 
San Antonio at Clippers – This is a juicy one with great individual matchups all over the place.  You’ve got Chris Paul-Tony Parker at the point, Blake Griffin-Tim Duncan in the pivot and Jamal Crawford-Manu Ginobili off the bench.  Los Angeles was 14-2 over the final month of the season and the Spurs 15-3.  The Clips led the league in offensive efficiency and SA was 3rd in defensive efficiency.  Add all that up and it seems like a crime that these two squads are meeting in the first round.  One concern for the Spurs is the status of Tiago Splitter because without him they lack the size to keep DeAndre Jordan from the owning the paint on both ends.  (I’m assuming Duncan will be on Griffin most of the time.)  CP3 knows that’s he’s never been past the second round and he can see Father Time approaching in the distance now, so I wouldn’t be surprised if he annihilates Parker individually.  Since LA doesn’t really have any big-time wing players for Kawhi Leonard to defend if he can step up his offensive game that could be the x-factor in the series.  This is another one that is too close for me to call but I’ll go with the best player (CP3) and home court advantage.  Clips in 7.

4.16.2015

Tap Dancing

I ended up going 13 for 16 on my playoff picks this season which was just as good as ESPN’s vaunted “Forecast” and better than most experts.  #humblebrag 
EAST 
I had in… 
6. Charlotte Hornets – They fell from 6th to 9th in defensive efficiency but bad chemistry and injuries really did them in.  Marquee free agent addition Lance Stephenson’s PER fell from 14.72 to 8.87 and he somehow managed the lowest 3-point percentage EVER (17.1%) for players with at least 100 attempts.  None of that stopped him from raising his usage rate from 19.0 to 20.7 though, and not coincidentally the team had their best stretch of the season while he was injured.  Beyond Lance being out for 21 games Al Jefferson missed 17, Kemba Walker 20, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist 27 and Cody Zeller another 20. 
8. Detroit Pistons – After jettisoning Josh Smith 28 games in they were on track for the playoffs but without Brandon Jennings for the final 41 games they just didn’t have enough (sorry Reggie Jackson).  Greg Monroe missed 13 games and Jodie Meeks 22 but after that most of their rotation guys were healthy.  I’ll give Stan Van Gundy, both the coach and the GM, a pass this year but next year he is officially on the clock. 
I had out… 
12. Boston Celtics – From last season to this one they moved from 27th to 20th in offensive efficiency and 20th to 12th in defensive efficiency.  That’s pretty impressive when you consider that GM Danny Ainge traded arguably their two best players in Rajon Rondo (after 22 games) and Jeff Green (after 33 games).  Credit goes to Coach Brad Stevens for keeping this group engaged and cobbling together several different rotations that worked during the course of the year.  Let’s not get too excited about them though since they were still an under .500 team. 
13. Milwaukee Bucks – When I look at their roster I still have trouble believing that they made the playoffs, and that’s including Jabari Parker (missed 57 games) and Larry Sanders (waived after only appearing in 27).  Other than those two guys they were mostly healthy though and Coach Jason Kidd deserves all the kudos he gets for taking them from 29th in defensive efficiency all the way up to 2nd in one season.  Regardless of how you feel about Michael Carter-Williams GM John Hammond also did well selling high on the overrated Brandon Knight. 
WEST 
I had in… 
4. Oklahoma City Thunder – Explaining how they missed the playoffs is simple.  Kevin Durant missed 55 games, Russell Westbrook 15, Serge Ibaka 18, Steven Adams 12 and Nick Collison 16.  Then factor in that Dion Waiters and Kendrick Perkins played 47 and 51 games for them respectively and there you have it.  If GM Sam Presti wants to fire Coach Scott Brooks I’m ok with it, but not because Brooks couldn’t get this injury ravaged bunch to the playoffs this season. 
I had out… 
9. Houston Rockets – They had more than their fair share of injuries yet somehow still managed to finish second in the rugged West.  There are two morals to that story.  First, never question the greatness of The Beard.  And two, doubt mathketball at your own risk.