10.29.2008

Opening Night...RELAX Portland

Blazer fans need to clam down.

The season is not lost.

In fact, far from it.

Yes, Greg Bowie…err…Oden hurt his right foot after only 13 minutes of play. But let’s break it down (Oh, bad choice of words there) before we all throw in the towel.

If he broke/fractured a bone in his foot he’s likely lost for a couple of months. Putting him back at or around the All-Star break. The other option is he tore/stretched a ligament somewhere in his foot. That injury likely has him back around mid to late December.

Now, foot injuries on guys Oden’s size are never a walk in the park in terms of 100% recovery, but the bottom line is he will play again this season.

In the meantime Portland’s backcourt rotation and coach are exactly the same. Granted the Blazers are already without starting SF Martell Webster (fractured left foot), but all that means is more playing time for Rudy Fernandez (a good thing).

The loss of Oden obviously does affect the frontcourt rotation, but not as much as the doom-and-gloomers would have you think. Joel Przybilla is a very capable center. Where it gets dicey now is that Channing Frye moves to backup center and Ike Diogu slides into Frye’s vacated backup PF role. A downgrade? Yes, but not catastrophic either.

What Portland really has working against them is a murderous opening schedule that sees them on the road for 15 of their first 22 games. Realistically they were going to struggle with or without Oden during this stretch anyway. The task undoubtedly just got tougher, but if this squad is really as good as most think (me included) they should be able hang around .500 until Greg and Martell return.

> Barring multiple serious injuries the Lakers are going to run away with the best record overall. Hate all you want, but this club is totally STACKED. I’m already sick of the “Can they win 70 games?” questions that haven’t even started yet.

> The only other thing worth noting from night one was how good Chicago looked. I know it’s only one game against Milwaukee, but I still liked what I saw.

Derrick Rose is the real deal cut out of the same mold as Chris Paul. Thabo Sefolosha, Luol Deng and Tyrus Thomas give them some serious athletes in the starting lineup to run with Rose.

What’s really intriguing though is their bench unit of Kirk Hinrich, Ben Gordon, Andres Nocioni and Joakim Noah. Not bad at all on paper. (Larry Hughes injuring his right shoulder was a blessing in disguise BTW.)

The only question I still have, and it’s the main reason I didn’t pick them to make the playoffs, is rookie coach Vinny Del Negro. I have a hard time seeing a guy with no coaching experience on ANY level leading a young team to the post season. But hey, if Vinny’s not a total liability the Bulls are certainly in the mix for the 7th or 8th seed in the East.

> Yet again the NBA is leading the way with an idea that’s so simple it’s a wonder why it took so long to become reality.

From NBA.com…

“For the first time ever, NBA TV will give fans the unique opportunity to vote for the games they want to see televised nationally on NBA TV each Tuesday night. Fans can let their voice be heard by logging onto NBA.com and selecting which match-up taking place around the league should be aired nationally on NBA TV. The top vote getting game will air on the network the following Tuesday night. Voting will begin Tuesday Oct 28 for the first Fan Night match-up which will air on Tuesday Nov 4.”

This is BRILLIANT and I expect all other sports, including college conferences, to be following suit in the very near future. Of course the NBA itself will get no credit whatsoever for starting this…as usual.

10.28.2008

2008-09 Season Preview

Let me apologize right off the bat to anyone out there that was actually wondering where my usual Previews were/are. The motherboard on my home computer died a little more than a month before the season was to start (tonight).

No big deal, right?

Well, the online computer store my wife ordered the replacement motherboard from sent us the wrong one, essentially ruining my time table for writing.

Believe it or not, the refund just showed up in our bank account yesterday. So the plan is to order another replacement and hopefully I’ll be good to go again in time for the ‘Quarter Pole Review.’

Suffice it to say, this was not how I wanted to start my sixth full year of covering the NBA in cyberspace. In fact, as geeky as this may read, I actually look forward to writing these season previews quite a bit. So no one is more disappointed about this than I am.

The fact of the matter is that my epic wordy ramblings take time to write (think 3 teams a night over 2 weeks give or take). And as unbelievable as this may be to some, I actually don’t have the time to waste at work on a project of this size anymore.

More responsibility is a bummer.

Anyway, I debated with myself forever on how to handle this. So rather than doing nothing, I figured it best to just post something so I’m at least on the record.

The one caveat I will put out there is that I didn’t put as much time into these predictions as I normally do. Researching the numbers, trends, etc. seemed like a waste of time since I wouldn’t be elaborating on any of them.

That said, I did watch more pre-season basketball then I ever have before. Not sure if that helped me though.

On to the predictions…

EAST

1. Boston Celtics
2. Detroit Pistons
3. Toronto Raptors
4. Orlando Magic (6th best record)
5. Cleveland Cavaliers (4th best record)
6. Philadelphia 76ers (5th best record)
Complete crapshoot from here
7. Indiana Pacers
8. Washington Wizards
9. Atlanta Hawks
10. New York Knicks
11. Chicago Bulls
12. Milwaukee Bucks
13. Charlotte Bobcats
14. Miami Heat
15. New Jersey Nets

Final Four – Boston, Cleveland, Toronto, Detroit

Eastern Finals – Cleveland, Detroit

WEST

1. Los Angeles Lakers
2. Houston Rockets
3. Utah Jazz
4. New Orleans Hornets
5. Phoenix Suns
6. San Antonio Spurs
7. Portland Trail Blazers
8. Dallas Mavericks
9. Denver Nuggets
10. Los Angeles Clippers
11. Golden State Warriors
12. Sacramento Kings
13. Minnesota Timberwolves
14. Memphis Grizzlies
15. Oklahoma City Thunder

Final Four – Lakers, Phoenix, Utah, Houston

Western Finals – Lakers, Houston

NBA Finals – Cleveland, Lakers

NBA Champion – Lakers